We are approaching a couple
of key events – the British referendum on the European Union, and the Spanish General
Election. The first of these, on Thursday 23rd June, will be (we are told) ‘tight’.
If the British do decide to leave, there will be endless stories to report
about the fate of the ex-pats in Spain. There will probably be calls from other
European countries to hold similar referenda – it could even be, as the
melodramas have it – ‘the beginning of the end’ of the EU. If the UK leaves,
then we can expect the Spanish (and their European partners) to be a little
harsh with us, unforgiving and ungenerous. Are your papers in order?
But perhaps the ‘stay’ vote
will win the day. At least, there would be fewer surprises for those of us who
plan to continue living in Spain.
Just three days after the
shock or otherwise of the British poll, the Spanish will be asked to kill
another Sunday with fresh parliamentary elections. There are similar choices to
the December ballot, with the exception of the union between Podemos and the
Izquierda Unida – a partnership which has seen the new ‘Unión Podemos’ move
into second place among the pollsters. Nevertheless, there still remains four
main parties to choose from (plus the regional ones and a few eccentric and slightly
pointless tiddlers). No one party will make it alone – and the ill-felt negotiations
of December might be repeated once again: to no one’s benefit. Unfortunately,
rather than watch the debates, Spain is once again romanced by the far more
compelling (if utterly pointless) Copa de Europa.
The BoT forecast: a coalition government made of Unión Podemos with the PSOE: Pedro Sánchez for president.
The BoT forecast: a coalition government made of Unión Podemos with the PSOE: Pedro Sánchez for president.
Editorial Business over Tapas 9 June.
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