Much to the surprise of everyone, the British voters rose up
in an untidy mass last Thursday and voted to leave the European Union. With the
two choices before them of staying and going, they chose the alternative
favoured by the far-right: to leave.
My Godfather was a senior politician in the Conservative
party in the nineteen fifties and he left them to create the National front, a
party of far-right racist lunatics. Today, they are called Britain Now, or the
UKIP, or the British Nationalist Party: there are many others besides. The politics of
Donald Trump, in short.
Andrew Fountaine told my father once that the Blackshirts
only wanted a certain type of supporter. They wanted the poor and the
ill-educated: ‘the Little People’. These, he said, could be easily stirred up
against an enemy – the Jew, the wealthy or the foreigner. We don’t want any intellectuals
or the upper classes to come anywhere near our rallies. We keep it simple.
And so, the results of the referendum in the UK, called by a
British upper class fool, and lost on the playing fields of Eton.
But now, it’s not that one Britain won over another: it’s
rather more than that; it’s the end of the United Kingdom.
The UK is made up of four strongly allied countries. Of
these, Scotland has already tried to secede and, with the current situation,
will do so again, this time successfully. Scotland would like to stay, or
rejoin – the European Union. It’s doubtful that Brussels would have any strong
concerns about them joining. As Scotland leaves the UK (or rather, the ‘Former
United Kingdom’ – enjoy the acronym), Northern Ireland, too, would be pleased
to leave and join the rest of the Republic of Ireland, also a firm supporter of
the EU. Would Dublin or Brussels see a problem with that? Not likely.
By Friday, London was also talking of leaving the UK,
perhaps becoming another Singapore. What a collapse of a slightly ridiculous and
briefly racist country. Cameron, you screwed up. Boris Johnson and Nigel Farage
– your country is committing an act of self-immolation. How you will be
remembered!
The UK voted in a referendum, which, unlike an election, cannot
be adjusted or resolved every four years or so. A referendum is permanent. The ‘Brexiters’ won and their politic was based
on fearing the foreigners – the Syrian refugees or the Turkish hoards. They
also dislike the Europeans living in the UK, whether working or studying (it
would be hard to imagine Europeans going there to retire). Two million EU citizens, mainly French, German
and Italian, and the Irish as well, but also Spaniards and Poles and Bulgarians
are in the United Kingdom at the present time: all, evidently ‘after our jobs
and our women’.
As we wait for the UK to fragment, we can expect the next
racist government to treat the European Union citizens with the politics that
defined the referendum. We can expect that their European privileges will be
lost, and they will be forced to seek work-permits, and visas, and a minimum
income to stay (likely 30,000 pounds a year). They could expect to be deported
back to their own countries in certain circumstances.
So what would happen to the two million or so British
expatriates living in the EU, and in particular, to those in Spain? Whatever
the British Government was to hand out to the Spaniards and their EU brothers,
Then Madrid, Paris, Berlin and Sofia would hand out to us. The voters would
insist upon it. We aren’t very popular here as it is. We could expect work permits,
convertible accounts and so on. We might need to visit the Spanish embassy in
London for an extended visa. There would be quite a queue.
Already, we can expect to lose the international health card
(the EHIC) and to have our pensions frozen at 2015 levels. Our voting rights in
Spain, and anywhere else across the EU, would be lost as well (and the few
British councillors in Spanish town halls? Sayonara).
Deportations? There would be a quid pro quo: if the UK sent Spaniards home, then, yes. The
electorate here would insist upon it.
We are not liked by the stay-at-home British, being seen as ‘traitors’,
and we have no voice, no representation. We are un-persons – without any
strength for negotiation for our rights. What rights? There is neither an office or a spokesperson or
even an agency for the expatriates: neither in London, nor in Madrid nor in Brussels.
In fact, no one even knows how many we are. The INE claims 270,000 Britons
living in Spain, based on the figures from the padrón (the town halls register), but many other sources, such as
the consulates or the tourist authorities or the media, go as high as 650,000
or sometimes even 800,000. No one knows (because of course, no one cares). A
country like Spain, anal in its statistics and its bureaucracy, knows how many
sheep or goats there are across the entire country, because each one has a chip
and a bureaucrat to count it. But they don’t know how many we are.
There could be two million Britons living in the EU, now all
feeling rather betrayed by their countrymen. Can we rise up and protest? To who
– the local mayor?
So what can we do? Keep our heads down and hope for sanity?
That rarely works in politics. Perhaps take out Spanish nationality? To do
this, we would need to be able to prove that we have spent ten years resident
in Spain, speak Spanish and have a good knowledge of current affairs and Spanish
culture (there’s a fifty question test). How many of the Brits, drinking beer
in their silly fish ‘n chip bars in Fuengirola, could pass these requirements?
Then of course there’s the chance of returning to the UK,
either voluntarily or through some imagined deportation. How many of us could
afford to buy a home in the UK, or do we think that a grateful government,
pleased to see us back, would give us all houses and an income? Not likely. We are
all slightly worried that we might end up within a year living in damp Quonset
Huts built in haste on Salisbury Plain. You don’t need to be a Rhodesian to
know what might happen to an unpopular minority.
While we émigrés may be once more ‘the plaything of the Gods’
(like the many decent Germans in 1929: now, how did that end?), what could
happen to Gibraltar? The thirty thousand people living there have already been
threatened by Spain’s answer to Nigel Farage, the demagogue García-Margallo,
who says on Friday ‘the Spanish flag flying over Gibraltar is closer than ever’.
What could happen to Spain as this calamity plays itself out?
With the price of a holiday suddenly rising by ten per cent or more as the
pound plummets, the largest foreign group, the British, which make up over 28%
of all foreign tourism in Spain and spent over 14,000 million euros in Spain
last year, will start to rethink their vacation plans.
Simon Manley, the British ambassador in Madrid, has sent out
a video on Facebook telling us to be calm. Nothing will happen for a year or
two, he says. We have residence and rights, he says. Well, do we? The Europeans
living in Spain had their residence cards taken by the Interior Minister Pérez Rubalcaba
back in 2009 and we were obliged to carry, from that time onwards, our national
passport together with a letter from the Ministry (i.e. from the police) that
says ‘as a communitarian citizen, the bearer has the right to reside in Spain’.
We may have used our Spanish driving licence for an ID, but tell that to the
notary or the town hall or the police themselves. Of course, if we Britons are
no longer ‘communitarian citizens’, then we (and not Spain) will have broken
the arrangement. We will simply be foreigners: in Spain without a residence
card.